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比特币“鲸鱼”的复苏引发了恐慌:市场正面临剧烈波动。_我的网站

霸王别姬

A | 对于比特币来说,这要么是好消息,要么是坏消息。在上周这种首创的加密货币崩溃之后,彭博社报道说,随着最近几周出现了几十个比特币钱包,加密技术的一个有希望的发展可能意味着市场上的一轮销售(或购买)。    

Zhou Jiang speaks at an event. Photo: Courtesy of Zhou Jiang
    Zhou Jiang speaks at an event. Photo: Courtesy of Zhou Jiang
Zhou Jiang, a researcher at the Sichuan Academy of Social Sciences, has a favorite book:  White Deer Tableland or Bai Lu Yuan by renowned writer Chen Zhongshi.
As vice president of the Regional Science Association of China (RSAC), Zhou told the Global Times that a lifetime of reading has profoundly shaped the way he sees and understands the world. It ultimately led him to a career in research and academia, where he teaches and pursues scholarly work.
Since earning his PhD in economics in 2000, he has devoted himself to the study of regional science and economics, a field that demands a constant crossing of disciplinary boundaries, drawing on the fields of geography, sociology, history, and ecology among others.
"Reading has kept alive my sense of curiosity and taught me to ask questions with patience and persistence: Where do disparities in regional development come from? How do policies affect different groups in society? And how can a region pursue both efficiency and equity so that development is not merely effective, but also imbued with a greater sense of humanity and warmth?" Zhou noted. 
Founded in 1991, RSAC is a national academic society dedicated to advancing domestic and international academic exchange and cooperation, providing consulting services on spatial planning, urbanization, and regional development, and offering intellectual support for China's modernization drive.
The 57-year-old researcher noted that reading has empowered him in two distinct ways.
"The first is discernment. When confronted with a complex issue, I try not to settle for a simple conclusion. Instead, I make an effort to understand its broader context, how it has unfolded, and the perspectives of the different people involved," he said. 
"The second is a sense of inner steadiness. Setbacks are an inevitable part of both life and work. Good books remind us that hardship is never ours alone to bear; countless people before us have faced circumstances more difficult than our own, made difficult choices, and found the strength to carry on. Reading cannot solve every problem for us, but it can help us remain calm when challenges arise, giving us the clarity and resilience that allow us not to panic or give up too easily," he said. 
Historical depth

Each time Zhou returns to the White Deer Tableland, he finds something different in its pages. 
"When I first read it as a young person, I was drawn primarily to the characters and the twists and turns of their lives. Later, as I began researching regional economics, I found myself paying closer attention to the changes in the land, the countryside, families and social order presented in the story. Now, approaching 60, I have come to appreciate more deeply the choices the characters make, the constraints they face, and the quiet perseverance they show amid the sweeping currents of their times," he said. 
White Deer Tableland uses Bai Lu village in Northwest China's Shaanxi Province as a microcosm, tracing the feuds and intertwined fortunes of three generations of the Bai (literally meaning white) and Lu families. Through their stories, it captures more than half a century of sweeping historical change, from the final years of the Qing Dynasty (1644-1911) to the 1970s and 1980s. The novel won the Mao Dun Literature Prize, one of China's top literature awards, in 1997.
Zhou prefers literary works with historical depth and a keen eye for social change. 
Regional economics may appear to be concerned with the spatial distribution of industries, population and resources, but at its heart, it is about how people live on a particular piece of land, and why some places flourish while others decline, he noted. 
In this sense, literature and history are more than pastimes beyond professional research. They often help him understand the historical context, cultural traditions and social mentality that lie behind economic data, he said. 
When reading novels, Zhou said that he often pays close attention to the relationship between people and the places they inhabit: How the land shapes the local character, how transportation transforms a region, and how shifts in industry reshape families and villages. Such details may not offer a direct conclusion, but they broaden a researcher's perspective. They also serve as a reminder that research should look beyond growth rates and statistical indicators to consider the sense of fulfillment experienced by ordinary people and the dignity of human beings.
Understanding ourselves
Once, while tidying his study, he came across a book filled with notes he had scribbled in his early years. Among them was a question that particularly caught his attention: "In the face of sweeping changes in the times and profound social transformation, what can a person truly determine for himself?"
Looking at those words he had written in his youth was like coming face to face with the person he had been decades ago.
Reading is not simply the act of understanding a book; it is also a record of a person's own growth, he said. The same book can reveal something entirely different when read at different stages of life. 
When we are young, we turn to books in search of answers; but when we become seasoned, we read more to understand life, to understand others, and ultimately, to better understand ourselves, Zhou said. 
In this era of fragmented information, AI can help people access information quickly, organize materials, and gain a basic understanding of unfamiliar fields. Yet deep reading, Zhou said, allows people to see how a conclusion is reached — what evidence supports it, where its boundaries lie, and what alternative interpretations it may invite.
What truly shapes a person, after all, is not how much information they have browsed, but the words that have made them pause and reflect - and the words that have remained with them for many years, he added. 
。根据Flipside Crypto,非活动帐户的数量已经大幅下降。去年年底,比特币交易、转让和买卖的账户数量激增。

B | 比特币最早的一些账户的拥有者,其中许多账户已经长期处于休眠状态,自10月份以来已经显示出生命迹象。据Flipside数据科学主管埃里克•斯通(EricStone)称,自去年夏天以来,活跃比特币的供应量增加了40%。这一点很重要,因为在2015年和2017年出现大幅度的价格波动之前,已经出现了类似的情况。

C | 最新的波动预示着一场购买热潮,在明年的价格暴跌之前,比特币价格一度推高至2万美元。分析公司Flipside Crypto的数据显示,自去年10月以来,大量六个月至两年半以上没有接触过比特币的持有者开始转移他们的比特币。这家总部位于波士顿的公司发现,这种趋势自新年伊始就一直持续下去,过去30天一直活跃的账户现在占到了当前供应量的60%。“这绝对是一个重大变化,”Flipside数据科学主管埃里克·斯通在接受采访时说。比特币市场是一个众所周知的集中市场。大约有1000个账户,通常被称为鲸鱼账户,控制着比特币的85%,其中包括许多早期投资者,他们在过去两年的价格上涨和崩溃中相对不活跃。Flipside首席执行官大卫•鲍尔特(David Balter)表示:“我们看到很多长期持有比特币的人变得活跃起来。”“这些钱包最近非常活跃的事实让我们相信,它们很快就会再次活跃起来,”斯通说。

D | 换言之,没有理由期望它们在两年多的时间内保持停滞状态。”对于那些怀疑这头大鲸鱼是否能够影响比特币价格的人来说,只需看看9月份引发的混乱,看看这是不是真的。当时,一个拥有7.2亿比特币的神秘钱包从睡梦中醒来,开始卖比特币。现场不是很好。

E |

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Published on:16:05:31