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一 | 忍无可忍,安理会再次上演激烈交锋,美国妄图借半岛问题和俄乌冲突问题单挑中俄朝3国,却反遭“围攻”,这次中俄朝全都出手了,美方具体都做了什么?中俄朝又是如何回击的?1月8号,联合国安理会再次上演激烈交锋场面,美国驻联合国副代表谢伊就俄乌冲突以及半岛问题先后向中国、俄罗斯、朝鲜发难,妄图单挑3国,却反遭“围攻”。 JAKARTA, Indonesia -- Thousands of noisy, flag-waving political supporters created a celebratory atmosphere outside Indonesia’s election commission Thursday as candidates started registering for next year’s elections in the world’s third-largest democracy.More than 2,400 police were deployed around the General Election Commission compound in Jakarta and roads were blocked around the building, where traffic was snarled as the presidential and vice presidential candidates arrived.Anies Baswedan, an opposition candidate and former Jakarta governor, was the first to register for the presidential race, alongside his running mate, Muhaimin Iskandar, chairman of the National Awakening Party or PKB.Ganjar Pranowo, the governing party’s candidate for president and former Central Java governor, registered with his running mate, Muhammad Mahfud, the current top security minister. The election to succeed President Joko Widodo, who is serving his second and final term, is shaping up as a three-way race.Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto, who lost to Widodo in the last two presidential elections, is expected to run but it's not clear when he will register as he hasn't announced his running mate.The deadline for candidates to register for the legislative and presidential elections on Feb. 14, 2024, is next Wednesday.Opinion polls forecast a close race between Subianto and Pranowo, while Baswedan is consistently in third place.Baswedan was education and culture minister before Widodo removed him from the Cabinet in 2016.He was known as a progressive Muslim intellectual but religious identity politics in the 2017 election for Jakarta governor were seen as distancing him from moderate Muslims. His choice of Iskandar is viewed as an attempt to rebuild that support.Iskandar's PKB party has strong ties with Indonesia’s largest Islamic organization, Nahdlatul Ulama, which boasts over 45 million members.“We bring the idea of change to be felt by families in Indonesia. We want basic needs to be affordable. Farmers will have a more prosperous life, fishermen will have a more prosperous life. We want there to be equality of opportunity," Baswedan said at a news conference at the General Election Commission on Thursday. "The basic idea is that change brings equality and justice.”Some of Baswedan's supporters who gathered at the election commission building were from groups that held mass protests in 2016 against Jakarta’s ethnic Chinese Christian governor, Basuki Tjahaja Purnama, who was imprisoned on blasphemy charges after quoting the Quran in a speech. Baswedan galvanized street protests by hundreds of thousands and capitalized on the controversy in his successful run for governor.Baswedan is not expected to use religious identity politics in next year's election, said Arya Fernandes, head of the Department of Politics and Social Change at the Center for Strategic and International Studies Indonesia.“At the national level the people’s rejection of the use of identity or the use of religious-based narratives in elections and politics is actually high. So if there is any thought for any candidate to do that, I think it will backfire,” Fernandes said Thursday.Pranowo was a national legislator for the governing Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle, or PDIP, for 10 years before being elected in 2013 for the first of his two terms as Central Java governor.Widodo praised Pranowo as a leader who is close to the people and “always goes down to the grassroots and is very ideological.” “We want to develop Indonesia faster and continue the good things that have been done by the current government, to fix what is not good enough and to leave the bad ones,” Pranowo said in a news conference.Pranowo has faced criticism and a backlash from soccer fans after FIFA earlier this year stripped Indonesia of its right to host the Under-20 World Cup.He was among those who had voiced opposition to Israel’s participation in the tournament. Indonesia is the world's most populous Muslim-majority nation and does not have diplomatic relations with Israel. Subianto has focused his ultra-nationalistic campaign on what he sees as Indonesia’s weakness in the world relative to its vast land area rich in natural resources and a population of more than 270 million.A longtime commander in Indonesia’s Kopassus special forces, Subianto was discharged from the military in 1998 after Kopassus soldiers tortured activists who opposed dictator Suharto, his father-in-law. He went into self-exile in Jordan before returning and founding the Gerindra Party in early 2008.In the past he worked closely with hard-line Islamists to undermine his opponents, but lost to Widodo in the 2014 and 2019 elections, which were marred by dirty campaigning and wild internet rumors. Subianto refused to accept both election results but decided to join the Cabinet after Widodo offered him the defense minister position in a bid for unity.___Follow AP's Asia-Pacific coverage at https://apnews.com/hub/asia-pacific。首先在俄乌冲突问题上,谢伊再次提及朝鲜士兵赴俄参战这件事,称有超过1万2000名朝军士兵驻扎在俄罗斯,并在俄罗斯库尔斯克地区与乌军作战。随后她又指出,由于朝鲜派兵援助俄罗斯,因此朝方也在俄罗斯那里获益匪浅,得到了俄罗斯的军事装备、技术和经验的支持,这让朝鲜“更有能力对邻国发动战争”。

二 | 同时,她认为,朝鲜预计会利用这些军备及技术上的提升来促进武器销售,同时争取更多的军事训练机会。谢伊的话音刚落,随即就遭到朝鲜驻联合国大使金成和俄罗斯驻联合国大使涅边贾的驳斥,金成指责美国奉行双重标准。涅边贾则表示,美国政府关于俄罗斯疑似向朝鲜转让卫星和航天技术的声明是又一次没有证据的臆想,其目的就是抹黑俄罗斯和友好国家朝鲜的双边合作。同时,涅边贾强调,俄罗斯和朝鲜的合作旨在在本地区发挥稳定性作用,降低半岛发生战争的风险,其中包括使用核武器的冲突。

三 | 值得一提的是,就在谢伊发表此番言论的前两天,朝鲜再次进行了一次弹道导弹试射,这也是朝鲜2025年第一次发射弹道导弹。

四 | 上一次发射是在去年的11月5号,朝鲜当时发射了短程弹道导弹。为什么朝鲜方面要选择在这个时间点发射弹道导弹呢?舆论分析指出,在此次朝鲜试射弹道导弹之际,恰逢美国国务卿布林肯访问韩国。另外,美国当选总统特朗普也即将上台。在此背景下,朝方试射弹道导弹显然有着向美方释放某种信号的意味,以此来展示朝鲜坚决反对美国霸权的态度。其次,在半岛问题上,谢伊又将矛头转向了中国和俄罗斯,称“过去两年来,中国和俄罗斯‘阻止’安理会对朝鲜制裁采取行动”。为此,她还举出两个所谓的例子,一是去年3月,俄罗斯通过“滥用”否决权,结束了对“1718委员会”,即对朝制裁委员会专家小组的授权。二是中俄“阻止”发表一份声明,该声明涉及去年10月朝鲜发射洲际弹道导弹。在谢伊看来,朝方此举已经违反了安理会多项决议,而中俄“阻止”发表声明,就是在有意偏向朝鲜。针对美方的此番言论,中方忍无可忍,中国常驻联合国副代表耿爽当场回击。首先,耿爽指出,美国代表在发言中对中方进行歪曲和抹黑,中方对此坚决反对、绝不接受。同时,他强调,长期以来,中方始终采取慎重、负责、建设性的态度,始终从半岛问题本身的是非曲直出发作出判断、制定政策,始终致力于以实际行动维护半岛和平稳定、缓和半岛局势。

五 | 中方的诚意、努力与贡献不容质疑,不容歪曲,不容抹杀。不可否认的是,在此之前,中方曾不止一次指出,解决半岛问题当务之急就是停止威慑施压,摆脱轮番升级的对抗螺旋。其根本之道是重启对话谈判,解决各方尤其是朝鲜方面的合理安全关切,推动半岛问题的政治解决进程。然而,中方的这些努力,美西方国家始终选择无视,又有什么资格来对中国妄加指责?。
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