- 作者:扁安开乙
- 来源:虎口脱险
- 发布时间:2026-08-26
头文字d
Australia's defense‑funded report hypes risks to subsea cables to 'serve military goals'_我的网站

一 | 8月24日消息,美国加拿大贸易摩擦持续发酵,在首轮关税落地、双边谈判破裂之后,美国再度抛出重磅威胁。

二 |

Published by the National Security College at the Australian National University (ANU), the paper claimed recent damage to cables in the Baltic Sea and around China's Taiwan region suggests "state actors are now actively probing and testing cable infrastructure in peacetime as part of broader hybrid warfare strategies" to rapidly degrade connectivity at the outset of a conflict, The Australian reported.
The paper claimed 16 privately owned subsea cables that carry 99 percent of Australia's internet traffic are a "high priority target" for Australia's adversaries that could be severed in a conflict, threatening the nation's economy and social fabric, according to The Australian.
The report singled out China and Russia for blame, saying that there have been multiple apparent attacks on submarine cables in recent years in European waters as well as near China's Taiwan region, suspected to be linked to Russia and China, the Straits Times reported.
However, the report cites a 2025 voyage by Chinese research vessel Tan Suo Yi Hao along Australia's western and southern coastlines as evidence to back its claim that "potential adversaries are actively gathering information about Australia's cable infrastructure."
This report, relying on the routine scientific operations of a Chinese research vessel in 2025 to level allegations of offensive actions against China, and employing ambiguous terminology such as "suspected" and "potential," demonstrates Australia's evidentiary leap, Chen Hong, director of the Australian Studies Center of East China Normal University, told the Global Times on Monday.
This erroneous claim was refuted by the Chinese Foreign Ministry at the time. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun said on March 31, 2025 that China carries out normal activities at sea in accordance with international law, including UNCLOS.
"We hope Australia will have a right understanding of this and stop the groundless suspicion and speculations," Guo added.
This is not the first time certain Australian politicians has leveled baseless accusations of China intending to sabotage its undersea cables. Back in May, Defense Minister Richard Marles claimed during the Shangri-La Dialogue that China ought to boost transparency around its maritime operations. He also asserted that a surge in damage to subsea cables had transformed the seabed into a "battlefield," per The Australian.
Chen said Australian side's scaremongering is tied to its predictive threat‑perception framework forged in recent years. This framework designates China and other countries as strategic competitors in advance, subsequently forces routine scientific activities into a confrontational framework, Chen said.
Apart from unfounded allegations against China, the paper claims Australia's defense military "must incorporate the defense of submarine cable infrastructure into its operational planning," according to The Australian.
It added the government should also consider up¬grading an auxiliary ship operated by the navy, ADV Guidance, to enable it to repair damaged cables.
The vast majority of submarine cable damages are caused by accidental factors such as fishing operations and vessel anchoring, rather than deliberate sabotage. For suspected cases of intentional damage, independent technical investigation bodies should be established, and the principle of "investigate first, characterize later" should be strictly applied, so as to prevent ordinary maritime accidents from escalating into diplomatic conflicts, Chen said.
The core problem of Australian side's submarine cable security lies entirely with itself. Instead of addressing its own infrastructure shortcomings and improving its domestic protection and maintenance systems, the Australian side has chosen to continually exaggerate external threats and stoke bloc confrontation, the expert added.
Chen said that by fabricating alleged Chinese threats, Australian side seeks to "rationalize" its military spending increases and underwater force expansion. The submarine digital infrastructure originally meant to serve global development has been labeled along us versus them lines, and this constitutes the biggest hidden danger, he added.
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三 | 特朗普业已官宣,计划自2027年1月1日起,对加拿大全部大小汽车、卡车、整车零部件以及钢铁征收50%关税,上述品类并未纳入此前的征税清单。 以下为特朗普分享的原文: 加拿大多年来一直在占美国的便宜,加拿大对美国农民以及农产品征收高得离谱的关税,让这些优秀的美国爱国者举步维艰,也造成两国之间长期存在600亿美元的贸易逆差,这种局面无法持续,这种情况到此为止! 2027年1月1日起,针对全部大小汽车、卡车、汽车零部件以及钢铁的关税,将上调至50%。 如果在美国本土生产,则享受零关税待遇,加拿大将不再被视作美国的一个州来对待! 在贸易以及其他诸多方面,加拿大都属于最难打交道的国家之一。

四 | 他们总觉得自己理应享受优待,但现实是:我们并不依赖加拿大,而是加拿大离不开我们!加拿大95%的贸易业务都是和美国开展的,情况完全反过来了!
据了解,本轮争端根源来自农产品市场准入矛盾,美方指责加拿大乳制品、酒类相关规则设置贸易壁垒,叠加双边约600亿美元贸易逆差,以此作为施压借口。 7月美国宣布对加拿大酒水、建材等商品加征50%关税,原定8月19日生效,后因谈判短暂推迟,最终8月22日正式落地,但并未涉及汽车与钢铁品类。 多轮谈判中双方一度传出妥协信号,但美方追加苛刻条款,谈判彻底破裂,加拿大随即宣布,9月8日起实施对等报复关税。

五 | 为进一步逼迫加拿大让步,美国将矛头指向深度绑定的北美汽车供应链,设置4个多月缓冲期,并非即刻执行,既给谈判留出窗口,也减少对本国车企的即时冲击。 北美汽车产业高度一体化,加拿大大量整车与零部件供应美国工厂,一旦50%关税落地,跨境生产成本将大幅抬升,直接冲击区域供应链,推高整车售价。

六 | 需要指出的是,目前该政策还属于对外宣告,后续仍存在谈判调整的可能性,而加拿大也大概率出台对应反制举措。
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