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Poison Pill? Why Dems' Inflation Reduction Act May Become GOP Headache Ahead of 2024 Election_我的网站

A |     走出了完全不同的最后一程          同样出生在1989年。

B |     "It’s pretty clear that no one on either side of the aisle think the name-switch to 'Inflation Reduction Act' has anything to do with the idea that the legislation is designed to reduce inflation," explained Michael R. Englund, principal director and chief economist for Action Economics.,"I think US politicians are increasingly resigned to the view that neither side is able to change public opinion, so the goal is simply to push through their agendas and raise funds for elections. The title change made Manchin’s vote a smidgeon easier, and maybe that tipped the scales.",The newly signed law levies a 15% minimum tax on large corporations and offers tax credits and discounts on everything from electric cars to solar energy. It also looks to cap out-of-pocket drug costs and reduce the federal deficit by $305 billion over roughly the next decade, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). However, despite its name, it does not offer an immediate curb on inflation which still stays at a 40-year high in the US.,When asked by Fox News reporter Hillary Vaughn whether the bill will immediately have an impact on galloping prices, Democratic Senator Joe Manchin responded, "Well, immediately it’s not. We've never [said] anything would happen immediately, like turn the switch on and off.",Americas‘Addicted to Spending Your Money’: US Republican Slams Democrats Over Inflation Reduction ActYesterday, 15:26 GMT,The bill was passed by the Senate on August 7 in a party-line vote using budget reconciliation, which allowed the Dems to ram the legislation through the upper chamber with a simple majority rather than needing to meet a 60-vote threshold. None of GOP lawmakers voted for the bill and remain highly skeptical about it.,"It does nothing to bring the economy out of stagnation and recession, but rather, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 gives us higher taxes, more spending, higher prices and an army of IRS agents,” said Senator Mike Crapo of Idaho, the top Republican on the Senate Finance Committee, as quoted by National Review.,The media outlet further cites an independent analysis performed by the University of Pennsylvania Wharton School which stated that despite its name, the bill’s impact on inflation is "expected to be statistically indistinguishable from zero.",Furthermore, GOP lawmakers have repeatedly warned that the Biden administration's spending spree may further facilitate already soaring inflation. Meanwhile, the latest $739 billion measure comes after the passage of the Democratic Party's $1.9 trillion spending bill in March 2021 and a $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure spending bill in November 2021.,"Raising taxes and spending is doing the exact opposite of how to truly curb price inflation," said Tom Luongo, a financial and political commentator. "All they did was mandate a bunch of price controls (on drugs, for example) which will ultimately create shortages for things with inelastic demand, further exasperating existent cost-push inflation pressures. Price floors and price ceilings create shortages. The net effect will be higher prices. With the government now more openly subsidizing specific sectors of the economy, they will ensure an increase in demand while capping the supply.",GOP Lawmakers Blast Biden’s ‘Inflation Reduction Act’, Say It Will Make Inflation Worse7 August, 19:05 GMT,Dems Need the Law to Campaign in Midterm Elections,According to the observers, the bill's major purpose is to reinvigorate the Democratic Party's base ahead of the November midterm election and stop Joe Biden's approval rating slide. A Politico-Morning Consult poll released on Wednesday indicated that the US president's approval rating ticked up 3 percentage points after the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act. At the same time, the number of registered voters who disapproved of Biden's job performance dropped from 59% to 56%.,"[The law] will give the Democrats something to campaign on," said Luongo. "They can now point to this act and say, 'See! We care about your drug prices but pay no attention to the insane rise in price of food, rent, gas and taxes… or those 87,000 armed IRS agents now being trained to take your couch money'.",However, "the net impact of the bill is that it may modestly boost Democrat turnout in November, and it may modestly boost Democratic fundraising," projected Englund, adding that "this comes at the risk of some modest boost for Republican turnout and fundraising that negates the benefit.","I’m not sure that, overall, the legislation is impactful enough to ultimately change the likely November electoral outcome," the economist said.,Still, there is more to the Inflation Reduction Act than meets the eye, according to Luongo: the financial commentator believes that "in the long run, this bill is a poison pill.","[The law] is designed to ensure inflation returns with a vengeance while the GOP is in power so that they can campaign on that in 2024. Honestly, it’s just so tiresome," Luongo concluded.。         一个马上37岁，拿到了3年9700万美元。         一个已经37岁，新合同只剩1年390万美元。         哈登和德罗赞年轻时都是联盟顶级得分手，都没有拿过总冠军，也都已经走到职业生涯最后阶段。         可到了这个年纪，两个人在NBA市场上的价格，突然被拉开了。

C |          这可能才是老将时代最残酷的地方：          年龄差不多，名气差不多，过去都当过球队老大，但你现在还能为一支强队解决什么问题，直接决定了最后几年值多少钱。

D |          哈登的新合同已经确定。         据路透社报道，他与骑士达成3年9700万美元合同，其中2028-29赛季为球员选项，还包含交易保证金。         更关键的是，今年夏天哈登原本手里握着价值4230万美元的球员选项。         他最终跳出合同，换来的不是底薪，也不是一年短约，而是一份新的多年承诺。         快37岁的后卫，还能让球队给出这样的合同，本身就足够罕见。         原因其实就在上赛季。         哈登加盟骑士之后打了26场常规赛，场均依然能得到20.5分、7.7次助攻，三分命中率达到43.5%。         整个2025-26赛季，他70场比赛场均23.6分、8次助攻。         37岁意味着什么？          很多明星后卫到了这个年纪，球队考虑的问题已经变成：          还能不能进入轮换？          季后赛会不会被针对？          还能打多久？          骑士面对哈登考虑的却依然是另一件事：          怎么继续让他掌控球队进攻。         这就是9700万美元背后真正值钱的东西。

E |          不是哈登还能不能偶尔拿30分。         而是即使爆发力下降，即使已经无法回到火箭时期那个单赛季场均36分的自己，他仍然拥有NBA最难贬值的能力之一——持球创造。         他能控制节奏。         能挡拆。         能给内线喂球。         能逼防守改变站位。         也能在关键回合自己处理球。         身体会老，但这些东西老得慢。         所以骑士买的不是过去那个MVP。         买的是一个快37岁，依然可以负责一支强队进攻体系的顶级老控卫。         再看德罗赞。         完全是另外一条路。         德罗赞刚刚与掘金签下1年390万美元合同。         需要说明的是，这只是他与掘金的新合同，并不代表他本赛季最终只能获得390万美元。         此前他与国王原本还有2026-27赛季2570万美元合同，其中1000万美元受到保障，随后被国王裁掉。

F |          但即便如此，市场释放出的信号已经非常明显：          37岁的德罗赞，在新球队得到的是一份接近老将底薪级别的合同。         更残酷的是，他甚至谈不上突然不会打球了。

G |          上赛季德罗赞出战77场，场均仍有18.4分、4.1次助攻，投篮命中率49.7%。         过去5个赛季，他每个赛季至少出战70场。         论健康，没崩。         论得分，也没崩。         生涯总得分已经达到26711分，排在NBA历史第16位。         一个历史级得分手，一个上赛季还能稳定拿18分的球员，为什么到了市场上只得到390万美元？          因为NBA判断老将价值，从来不只看场均得分。         德罗赞最大的问题，是他的核心技能和现在争冠球队最稀缺的东西，并没有完全重合。         他仍然擅长中距离。         仍然能单打。         仍然能够在阵地战里解决一些回合。         但当一个37岁的球星不再适合长期占据大量球权之后，球队真正希望他具备的是另外几样东西：          无球投篮。         高质量三分。         防守多个位置。         低球权下仍然能够产生巨大价值。

H |          这些恰恰不是德罗赞职业生涯最强的部分。

I |          所以你会看到一个非常有意思的现象。         哈登变老以后，组织能力帮他保住了身价。         德罗赞变老以后，得分能力却没能同样保护他的合同。         这并不是说现在的哈登一定比德罗赞强几倍。         合同也从来不能简单等于球员实力排名。         球队环境、市场空间、角色需求以及德罗赞此前被裁后的合同状况，都影响了最终数字。         但3年9700万和1年390万放在一起，还是揭开了NBA老将市场最现实的一面：          球星到了职业生涯后半程，比的已经不是谁曾经更辉煌，而是谁的技术更容易“老”。         库里的投射很难彻底消失。         保罗到了晚年还能靠组织生存。         传统大个子如果能护框、掩护、抢篮板，也可以找到角色。         而那些高度依赖持球得分，却又无法稳定提供投射、防守和组织价值的球星，一旦失去球队老大的地位，转型会格外困难。         德罗赞现在面对的，就是这一关。         但390万美元也未必全是坏消息。

J |          因为他选择的是掘金。         在约基奇身边，他已经不需要证明自己还能不能当一支球队的第一选择。

K |          甚至不需要再证明自己值2500万还是3000万。         他的任务可以简单很多：          当约基奇休息的时候解决几个回合。         在第二阵容提供得分。         比赛陷入停滞时，用自己打了一辈子的中距离帮助球队止血。

L |          如果最终能够在丹佛真正参与争冠，那么37岁接受角色下降，可能反而是德罗赞职业生涯最重要的一次转身。         哈登则走的是另一条路。         他还在拿明星级合同。         还承担明星级责任。         也意味着输球之后，他承担的批评同样不会减少。

M |          所以9700万和390万背后，并不只是一个人赢了、一个人输了。         它更像两个老球星面对职业生涯终点时，做出的两种选择。         哈登证明的是：我37岁了，联盟依然需要我掌控比赛。         德罗赞现在要证明的是：我不再需要掌控比赛，也一样可以帮助球队赢。         年轻的时候，他们争的是得分王、全明星、顶薪和球队老大的位置。         到了37岁附近，问题已经完全变了。         还能不能接受自己的变化？          还能不能找到一种新的方式留下来？          甚至——          愿不愿意为了那枚一直没有拿到的总冠军戒指，成为一个和过去完全不同的自己？          这才是哈登与德罗赞最后一程，真正值得看的地方。

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Published on:06:42:29